Minority Report

Abbeville, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Vermilion Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 54°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—49°0%
US model (GFS)77°55°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°58°0%
German model (ICON)76°55°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°53°0%
The average76°54°0%

Friday, November 13

High 71°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°45°0%
US model (GFS)71°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°52°0%
German model (ICON)69°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°47°0%
The average71°48°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 64°   Low 44°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°46°1%
US model (GFS)64°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°45°3%
German model (ICON)64°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°44°0%
The average64°44°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 69°   Low 47°   Rain 51%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 51%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°49°63%
US model (GFS)69°48°41%
European model (ECMWF)64°49°71%
German model (ICON)68°45°45%
Canadian model (GEM)72°44°36%
The average69°47°51%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.