Minority Report

Every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right — starting with Oklahoma, then Mississippi.

Updated Thursday, November 12, 2026. Forecasts for every city below are recorded fresh each morning and graded later against what the weather actually did - the scoreboard at the bottom keeps the receipts. The average is a straight average today; once sources have scores, the most right ones will count more.

Jump to a city: Oklahoma City, OK · Tulsa, OK · Norman, OK · Broken Arrow, OK · Edmond, OK · Lawton, OK · Moore, OK · Midwest City, OK · Enid, OK · Stillwater, OK · Owasso, OK · Bartlesville, OK · Muskogee, OK · Shawnee, OK · Ponca City, OK · Grenada, MS · Jackson, MS · Gulfport, MS · Southaven, MS · Biloxi, MS · Hattiesburg, MS · Meridian, MS · Tupelo, MS · Oxford, MS · Starkville, MS

Oklahoma

Oklahoma City, OK

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°39°1%
US model (GFS)70°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°46°0%
German model (ICON)68°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°43°0%
The average68°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°38°0%
US model (GFS)56°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°40°0%
German model (ICON)55°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°39°0%
The average56°39°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 37°   Rain 64%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 46% against a group average of 64%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°39°72%
US model (GFS)57°36°46%
European model (ECMWF)54°38°71%
German model (ICON)56°36°70%
Canadian model (GEM)56°37°61%
The average56°37°64%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 40°   Rain 94%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°38°92%
US model (GFS)49°41°90%
European model (ECMWF)46°42°97%
German model (ICON)44°40°98%
Canadian model (GEM)42°39°91%
The average46°40°94%

Tulsa, OK

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°36°1%
US model (GFS)65°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°43°0%
German model (ICON)64°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°44°0%
The average65°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°33°0%
US model (GFS)52°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°36°0%
German model (ICON)52°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°34°0%
The average52°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 33°   Rain 15%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 31% against a group average of 15%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°39°31%
US model (GFS)56°33°4%
European model (ECMWF)54°35°11%
German model (ICON)57°30°5%
Canadian model (GEM)55°29°25%
The average55°33°15%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 41°   Rain 65%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 15°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 65%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°38°61%
US model (GFS)57°45°67%
European model (ECMWF)46°43°56%
German model (ICON)46°41°49%
Canadian model (GEM)42°39°90%
The average48°41°65%

Norman, OK

Thursday, November 12

High 69°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°40°1%
US model (GFS)70°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°46°0%
German model (ICON)69°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°42°0%
The average69°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°38°0%
US model (GFS)57°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°41°0%
German model (ICON)56°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°40°0%
The average57°39°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 38°   Rain 64%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 64%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°40°73%
US model (GFS)58°37°51%
European model (ECMWF)55°39°72%
German model (ICON)56°36°77%
Canadian model (GEM)56°38°48%
The average56°38°64%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 40°   Rain 96%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°38°90%
US model (GFS)49°40°90%
European model (ECMWF)45°42°99%
German model (ICON)44°40°99%
Canadian model (GEM)42°40°100%
The average46°40°96%

Broken Arrow, OK

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°35°1%
US model (GFS)65°45°1%
European model (ECMWF)62°44°0%
German model (ICON)64°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°44°0%
The average64°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°33°0%
US model (GFS)52°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°38°0%
German model (ICON)52°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°34°0%
The average52°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 33°   Rain 16%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 16%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°38°30%
US model (GFS)55°33°3%
European model (ECMWF)54°36°13%
German model (ICON)56°29°8%
Canadian model (GEM)55°29°25%
The average55°33°16%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 40°   Rain 66%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 13°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 66%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°37°61%
US model (GFS)57°42°65%
European model (ECMWF)46°43°63%
German model (ICON)46°41°50%
Canadian model (GEM)44°40°90%
The average48°40°66%

Edmond, OK

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°39°0%
US model (GFS)69°45°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°42°0%
German model (ICON)68°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°40°0%
The average68°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°37°0%
US model (GFS)55°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°39°0%
German model (ICON)55°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°37°0%
The average55°38°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 36°   Rain 62%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 41% against a group average of 62%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°40°71%
US model (GFS)57°35°41%
European model (ECMWF)55°38°69%
German model (ICON)56°36°66%
Canadian model (GEM)57°34°61%
The average56°36°62%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 40°   Rain 92%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°38°91%
US model (GFS)49°41°90%
European model (ECMWF)46°42°93%
German model (ICON)45°40°95%
Canadian model (GEM)42°39°91%
The average46°40°92%

Lawton, OK

Thursday, November 12

High 74°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service75°42°0%
US model (GFS)76°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)72°50°0%
German model (ICON)74°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°46°0%
The average74°45°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°41°0%
US model (GFS)62°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°44°0%
German model (ICON)60°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°44°0%
The average62°43°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 42°   Rain 86%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 69% against a group average of 86%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°42°96%
US model (GFS)59°39°78%
European model (ECMWF)57°46°93%
German model (ICON)57°41°93%
Canadian model (GEM)59°42°69%
The average58°42°86%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 42°   Rain 94%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°40°86%
US model (GFS)52°42°91%
European model (ECMWF)47°44°99%
German model (ICON)45°42°98%
Canadian model (GEM)45°41°97%
The average48°42°94%

Moore, OK

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°39°1%
US model (GFS)69°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°45°0%
German model (ICON)69°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°43°0%
The average68°44°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°38°0%
US model (GFS)56°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°40°0%
German model (ICON)55°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°39°0%
The average56°39°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 37°   Rain 64%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 49% against a group average of 64%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°39°73%
US model (GFS)58°36°49%
European model (ECMWF)55°39°72%
German model (ICON)56°36°65%
Canadian model (GEM)56°36°61%
The average56°37°64%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 40°   Rain 94%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°38°91%
US model (GFS)49°40°90%
European model (ECMWF)45°42°99%
German model (ICON)44°40°98%
Canadian model (GEM)42°40°91%
The average45°40°94%

Midwest City, OK

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°40°1%
US model (GFS)69°45°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°46°0%
German model (ICON)68°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°42°0%
The average68°44°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°38°0%
US model (GFS)56°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°40°0%
German model (ICON)55°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°39°0%
The average55°39°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 37°   Rain 62%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 44% against a group average of 62%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°40°71%
US model (GFS)57°36°44%
European model (ECMWF)54°38°71%
German model (ICON)56°36°65%
Canadian model (GEM)56°36°61%
The average56°37°62%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 40°   Rain 93%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°38°91%
US model (GFS)49°40°90%
European model (ECMWF)46°42°97%
German model (ICON)44°40°98%
Canadian model (GEM)42°39°91%
The average46°40°93%

Enid, OK

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°35°0%
US model (GFS)66°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°42°0%
German model (ICON)64°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°40°0%
The average65°41°0%

Friday, November 13

High 53°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°34°0%
US model (GFS)53°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°37°0%
German model (ICON)52°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°34°0%
The average53°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 35°   Rain 59%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 59%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°38°70%
US model (GFS)53°33°39%
European model (ECMWF)52°37°72%
German model (ICON)55°34°53%
Canadian model (GEM)55°33°60%
The average54°35°59%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 39°   Rain 87%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°35°86%
US model (GFS)47°41°85%
European model (ECMWF)45°42°88%
German model (ICON)45°41°83%
Canadian model (GEM)42°38°95%
The average45°39°87%

Stillwater, OK

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°35°1%
US model (GFS)66°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°44°0%
German model (ICON)66°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°40°0%
The average66°40°0%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°33°0%
US model (GFS)53°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°38°0%
German model (ICON)53°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°35°0%
The average54°36°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 35°   Rain 43%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 66% against a group average of 43%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°38°66%
US model (GFS)55°33°20%
European model (ECMWF)55°37°47%
German model (ICON)57°34°38%
Canadian model (GEM)56°32°44%
The average56°35°43%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 40°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°36°84%
US model (GFS)47°42°81%
European model (ECMWF)48°42°80%
German model (ICON)46°41°82%
Canadian model (GEM)42°39°90%
The average46°40°83%

Owasso, OK

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°35°1%
US model (GFS)65°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°44°0%
German model (ICON)64°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°42°0%
The average64°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°32°0%
US model (GFS)52°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°37°0%
German model (ICON)52°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°32°0%
The average52°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 33°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 12%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°38°24%
US model (GFS)56°33°3%
European model (ECMWF)54°35°10%
German model (ICON)57°30°2%
Canadian model (GEM)56°28°19%
The average56°33°12%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 41°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 14°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 55%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°37°50%
US model (GFS)57°42°54%
European model (ECMWF)46°44°55%
German model (ICON)46°41°43%
Canadian model (GEM)44°40°73%
The average48°41°55%

Bartlesville, OK

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°32°1%
US model (GFS)64°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°42°0%
German model (ICON)63°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°42°0%
The average63°39°0%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°29°0%
US model (GFS)51°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°35°0%
German model (ICON)51°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°30°0%
The average51°31°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 31°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°36°15%
US model (GFS)55°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)53°33°7%
German model (ICON)56°27°3%
Canadian model (GEM)55°26°19%
The average55°31°9%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 39°   Rain 44%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 44%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°34°41%
US model (GFS)56°41°35%
European model (ECMWF)48°41°41%
German model (ICON)47°41°30%
Canadian model (GEM)46°39°73%
The average49°39°44%

Muskogee, OK

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°34°1%
US model (GFS)66°45°1%
European model (ECMWF)63°45°0%
German model (ICON)65°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°43°0%
The average65°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°32°0%
US model (GFS)54°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°38°0%
German model (ICON)54°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°35°0%
The average54°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 34°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 23% against a group average of 10%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°37°23%
US model (GFS)56°34°2%
European model (ECMWF)54°38°7%
German model (ICON)56°31°1%
Canadian model (GEM)55°30°17%
The average55°34°10%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 40°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 62%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°37°59%
US model (GFS)58°41°49%
European model (ECMWF)46°42°60%
German model (ICON)46°42°53%
Canadian model (GEM)48°41°90%
The average49°40°62%

Shawnee, OK

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°39°1%
US model (GFS)70°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°46°0%
German model (ICON)67°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°44°0%
The average68°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°37°1%
US model (GFS)56°39°1%
European model (ECMWF)54°39°0%
German model (ICON)54°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°38°0%
The average55°38°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 36°   Rain 55%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 55%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°40°66%
US model (GFS)57°34°39%
European model (ECMWF)56°38°65%
German model (ICON)56°34°54%
Canadian model (GEM)56°34°53%
The average56°36°55%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 40°   Rain 92%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°39°89%
US model (GFS)48°40°87%
European model (ECMWF)48°42°96%
German model (ICON)45°40°96%
Canadian model (GEM)43°39°91%
The average46°40°92%

Ponca City, OK John's hometown - where the prototype started.

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°34°1%
US model (GFS)65°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°43°0%
German model (ICON)64°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°39°0%
The average64°39°0%

Friday, November 13

High 53°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°32°0%
US model (GFS)52°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°37°0%
German model (ICON)52°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°36°0%
The average53°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 35°   Rain 29%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 11% against a group average of 29%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°38°44%
US model (GFS)53°33°11%
European model (ECMWF)53°36°23%
German model (ICON)55°34°22%
Canadian model (GEM)54°34°47%
The average54°35°29%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 40°   Rain 67%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 67%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°35°70%
US model (GFS)46°43°70%
European model (ECMWF)46°42°45%
German model (ICON)46°41°63%
Canadian model (GEM)42°40°87%
The average46°40°67%

Mississippi

Grenada, MS First Mississippi city, per John's order - Storm Shelter BBQ country.

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°33°0%
US model (GFS)66°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°51°0%
German model (ICON)66°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°51°0%
The average67°46°0%

Friday, November 13

High 53°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°32°0%
US model (GFS)52°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°41°0%
German model (ICON)53°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°39°0%
The average53°37°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°31°0%
US model (GFS)55°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°37°0%
German model (ICON)54°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°34°0%
The average54°34°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 35°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°34°16%
US model (GFS)59°36°9%
European model (ECMWF)55°38°5%
German model (ICON)60°32°7%
Canadian model (GEM)57°36°0%
The average58°35°7%

Jackson, MS

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°40°0%
US model (GFS)73°53°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°54°0%
German model (ICON)72°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°54°0%
The average72°50°0%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°35°0%
US model (GFS)57°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°42°0%
German model (ICON)58°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°39°0%
The average58°38°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°36°0%
US model (GFS)59°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°38°0%
German model (ICON)59°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°31°0%
The average58°34°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 61°   Low 39°   Rain 24%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 10% against a group average of 24%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°39°29%
US model (GFS)62°44°20%
European model (ECMWF)58°40°26%
German model (ICON)63°36°33%
Canadian model (GEM)60°37°10%
The average61°39°24%

Gulfport, MS

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 54°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service75°48°0%
US model (GFS)75°54°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°55°0%
German model (ICON)76°58°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°54°0%
The average76°54°0%

Friday, November 13

High 66°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°40°0%
US model (GFS)64°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°45°0%
German model (ICON)66°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°47°0%
The average66°45°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°43°0%
US model (GFS)63°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°41°0%
German model (ICON)61°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°43°0%
The average61°42°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 64°   Low 46°   Rain 10%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°48°15%
US model (GFS)65°47°3%
European model (ECMWF)64°43°11%
German model (ICON)63°48°15%
Canadian model (GEM)64°44°4%
The average64°46°10%

Southaven, MS

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 42°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°36°0%
US model (GFS)64°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°45°4%
German model (ICON)64°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°45°0%
The average64°42°1%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°31°0%
US model (GFS)50°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°38°0%
German model (ICON)51°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°32°0%
The average51°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°34°0%
US model (GFS)51°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°35°0%
German model (ICON)52°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°25°0%
The average52°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 35°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°37°6%
US model (GFS)56°36°4%
European model (ECMWF)55°36°2%
German model (ICON)59°35°4%
Canadian model (GEM)56°28°0%
The average56°35°3%

Biloxi, MS

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 52°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service76°49°0%
US model (GFS)77°54°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°55°0%
German model (ICON)78°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°54°0%
The average77°52°0%

Friday, November 13

High 66°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°38°0%
US model (GFS)66°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°45°0%
German model (ICON)66°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°44°0%
The average66°42°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°42°0%
US model (GFS)63°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°41°0%
German model (ICON)62°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°40°0%
The average61°39°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 65°   Low 43°   Rain 9%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°47°13%
US model (GFS)65°47°3%
European model (ECMWF)64°43°11%
German model (ICON)66°38°12%
Canadian model (GEM)64°41°4%
The average65°43°9%

Hattiesburg, MS

Thursday, November 12

High 74°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service75°44°0%
US model (GFS)71°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)72°54°0%
German model (ICON)76°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°53°0%
The average74°50°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°35°0%
US model (GFS)60°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°43°0%
German model (ICON)62°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°42°0%
The average62°39°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 60°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°36°0%
US model (GFS)61°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°39°0%
German model (ICON)60°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°35°0%
The average60°35°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 63°   Low 37°   Rain 18%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°40°21%
US model (GFS)63°37°13%
European model (ECMWF)61°40°20%
German model (ICON)64°34°25%
Canadian model (GEM)62°35°9%
The average63°37°18%

Meridian, MS

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service73°36°0%
US model (GFS)72°50°1%
European model (ECMWF)70°53°0%
German model (ICON)70°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°52°0%
The average71°48°0%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°31°0%
US model (GFS)56°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°40°0%
German model (ICON)57°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°37°0%
The average57°36°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°31°0%
US model (GFS)57°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°38°0%
German model (ICON)56°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°32°0%
The average56°32°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 59°   Low 34°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°34°12%
US model (GFS)61°34°6%
European model (ECMWF)57°39°9%
German model (ICON)60°31°18%
Canadian model (GEM)57°32°0%
The average59°34°9%

Tupelo, MS

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°32°0%
US model (GFS)67°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°47°0%
German model (ICON)66°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°47°0%
The average66°44°0%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°28°0%
US model (GFS)51°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°39°0%
German model (ICON)53°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°32°0%
The average52°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°28°0%
US model (GFS)54°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°34°0%
German model (ICON)54°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°26°0%
The average54°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 33°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°33°7%
US model (GFS)58°35°3%
European model (ECMWF)56°36°0%
German model (ICON)60°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)56°28°0%
The average58°33°3%

Oxford, MS

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°32°0%
US model (GFS)65°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°46°0%
German model (ICON)64°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°47°0%
The average65°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)50°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°37°0%
German model (ICON)51°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°34°0%
The average51°33°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°30°0%
US model (GFS)52°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°32°0%
German model (ICON)53°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°29°0%
The average52°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 33°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°33°9%
US model (GFS)56°35°5%
European model (ECMWF)55°35°2%
German model (ICON)58°29°9%
Canadian model (GEM)55°31°0%
The average56°33°5%

Starkville, MS

Thursday, November 12

High 69°   Low 47°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°36°0%
US model (GFS)69°51°2%
European model (ECMWF)68°51°4%
German model (ICON)68°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°52°5%
The average69°47°2%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°32°0%
US model (GFS)53°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°39°0%
German model (ICON)54°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°35°0%
The average54°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°31°0%
US model (GFS)55°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°35°0%
German model (ICON)56°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°29°0%
The average55°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 33°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°36°10%
US model (GFS)60°35°5%
European model (ECMWF)56°36°2%
German model (ICON)61°30°4%
Canadian model (GEM)56°29°0%
The average58°33°4%

Scoreboard — who has been most right

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.