Minority Report

Muskogee, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right.

Updated Thursday, November 12, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°34°1%
US model (GFS)66°45°1%
European model (ECMWF)63°45°0%
German model (ICON)65°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°43°0%
The average65°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°32°0%
US model (GFS)54°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°38°0%
German model (ICON)54°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°35°0%
The average54°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 34°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 23% against a group average of 10%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°37°23%
US model (GFS)56°34°2%
European model (ECMWF)54°38°7%
German model (ICON)56°31°1%
Canadian model (GEM)55°30°17%
The average55°34°10%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 40°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 62%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°37°59%
US model (GFS)58°41°49%
European model (ECMWF)46°42°60%
German model (ICON)46°42°53%
Canadian model (GEM)48°41°90%
The average49°40°62%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.