Minority Report

Norman, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right.

Updated Thursday, November 12, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 69°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°40°1%
US model (GFS)70°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°46°0%
German model (ICON)69°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°42°0%
The average69°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°38°0%
US model (GFS)57°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°41°0%
German model (ICON)56°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°40°0%
The average57°39°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 38°   Rain 64%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 64%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°40°73%
US model (GFS)58°37°51%
European model (ECMWF)55°39°72%
German model (ICON)56°36°77%
Canadian model (GEM)56°38°48%
The average56°38°64%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 40°   Rain 96%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°38°90%
US model (GFS)49°40°90%
European model (ECMWF)45°42°99%
German model (ICON)44°40°99%
Canadian model (GEM)42°40°100%
The average46°40°96%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.