Minority Report

Tupelo, MS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right.

Updated Thursday, November 12, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°32°0%
US model (GFS)67°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°47°0%
German model (ICON)66°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°47°0%
The average66°44°0%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°28°0%
US model (GFS)51°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°39°0%
German model (ICON)53°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°32°0%
The average52°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°28°0%
US model (GFS)54°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°34°0%
German model (ICON)54°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°26°0%
The average54°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 33°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°33°7%
US model (GFS)58°35°3%
European model (ECMWF)56°36°0%
German model (ICON)60°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)56°28°0%
The average58°33°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.