Minority Report

Bartlesville, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right.

Updated Thursday, November 12, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°32°1%
US model (GFS)64°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°42°0%
German model (ICON)63°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°42°0%
The average63°39°0%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°29°0%
US model (GFS)51°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°35°0%
German model (ICON)51°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°30°0%
The average51°31°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 31°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°36°15%
US model (GFS)55°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)53°33°7%
German model (ICON)56°27°3%
Canadian model (GEM)55°26°19%
The average55°31°9%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 39°   Rain 44%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 44%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°34°41%
US model (GFS)56°41°35%
European model (ECMWF)48°41°41%
German model (ICON)47°41°30%
Canadian model (GEM)46°39°73%
The average49°39°44%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.