Minority Report

Lawton, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right.

Updated Thursday, November 12, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 74°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service75°42°0%
US model (GFS)76°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)72°50°0%
German model (ICON)74°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°46°0%
The average74°45°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°41°0%
US model (GFS)62°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°44°0%
German model (ICON)60°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°44°0%
The average62°43°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 42°   Rain 86%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 69% against a group average of 86%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°42°96%
US model (GFS)59°39°78%
European model (ECMWF)57°46°93%
German model (ICON)57°41°93%
Canadian model (GEM)59°42°69%
The average58°42°86%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 42°   Rain 94%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°40°86%
US model (GFS)52°42°91%
European model (ECMWF)47°44°99%
German model (ICON)45°42°98%
Canadian model (GEM)45°41°97%
The average48°42°94%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.