Minority Report

Abbeville, SC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Abbeville County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 69°   Low 48°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 22 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 22% against a group average of 8%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°0%
US model (GFS)70°49°12%
European model (ECMWF)69°52°22%
German model (ICON)69°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°51°5%
The average69°48°8%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 38°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°33°0%
US model (GFS)57°39°1%
European model (ECMWF)55°43°0%
German model (ICON)57°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°40°5%
The average57°38°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°30°0%
US model (GFS)55°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°36°0%
German model (ICON)56°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°32°0%
The average56°32°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°33°0%
US model (GFS)58°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°33°0%
German model (ICON)56°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°30°0%
The average56°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.