Minority Report

Aberdeen, MS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Monroe County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 45°   Rain 14%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 52 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 52% against a group average of 14%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)67°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°50°16%
German model (ICON)66°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°50°52%
The average67°45°14%

Friday, November 13

High 53°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°28°0%
US model (GFS)52°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°39°0%
German model (ICON)53°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°35°0%
The average53°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°27°0%
US model (GFS)56°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°35°0%
German model (ICON)56°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°30°0%
The average55°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 34°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°32°9%
US model (GFS)60°38°5%
European model (ECMWF)57°36°2%
German model (ICON)60°29°2%
Canadian model (GEM)56°33°0%
The average58°34°4%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.