Minority Report

Abilene, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Taylor County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—51°0%
US model (GFS)77°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°45°0%
German model (ICON)76°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°43°0%
The average76°46°0%

Friday, November 13

High 72°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°51°1%
US model (GFS)74°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°49°0%
German model (ICON)70°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°44°0%
The average72°48°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 62°   Low 51°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 59% against a group average of 80%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°54°84%
US model (GFS)60°48°59%
European model (ECMWF)63°50°99%
German model (ICON)57°50°88%
Canadian model (GEM)67°51°70%
The average62°51°80%

Sunday, November 15

High 65°   Low 47°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 69%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°46°51%
US model (GFS)72°49°66%
European model (ECMWF)63°49°100%
German model (ICON)62°46°46%
Canadian model (GEM)65°44°81%
The average65°47°69%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.