Minority Report

Abingdon, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Washington County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 39°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 50 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 80%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°50%
US model (GFS)52°39°70%
German model (ICON)50°42°100%
Canadian model (GEM)52°39°100%
The average52°39°80%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 34°   Rain 68%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 44 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 68%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°29°57%
US model (GFS)41°34°56%
German model (ICON)42°36°60%
Canadian model (GEM)40°35°100%
The average41°34°68%

Saturday, November 14

High 38°   Low 29°   Rain 46%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 75 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 46%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°26°15%
US model (GFS)36°27°37%
German model (ICON)38°33°43%
Canadian model (GEM)38°30°90%
The average38°29°46%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°25°0%
US model (GFS)42°26°0%
German model (ICON)47°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°24°0%
The average44°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.