Minority Report

Ada, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pontotoc County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°1%
US model (GFS)72°45°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°47°0%
German model (ICON)71°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°44°0%
The average70°44°0%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°37°1%
US model (GFS)58°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°42°0%
German model (ICON)58°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°38°0%
The average58°39°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 37°   Rain 52%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 67% against a group average of 52%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°39°64%
US model (GFS)57°38°37%
European model (ECMWF)56°40°67%
German model (ICON)56°34°50%
Canadian model (GEM)55°35°41%
The average56°37°52%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 40°   Rain 92%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°38°90%
US model (GFS)49°40°87%
European model (ECMWF)44°41°100%
German model (ICON)44°40°93%
Canadian model (GEM)43°39°92%
The average45°40°92%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.