Minority Report

Adjuntas Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Adjuntas Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 83°   Low 68°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 83 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 83% against a group average of 28%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—71°10%
US model (GFS)83°67°19%
European model (ECMWF)82°67°83%
German model (ICON)81°65°30%
Canadian model (GEM)85°70°0%
The average83°68°28%

Friday, November 13

High 81°   Low 70°   Rain 19%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 19%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service79°71°30%
US model (GFS)81°68°19%
European model (ECMWF)80°70°35%
German model (ICON)81°72°5%
Canadian model (GEM)82°71°5%
The average81°70°19%

Saturday, November 14

High 81°   Low 71°   Rain 27%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 75 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 75% against a group average of 27%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service80°70°30%
US model (GFS)81°69°26%
European model (ECMWF)79°71°75%
German model (ICON)81°74°3%
Canadian model (GEM)83°72°0%
The average81°71°27%

Sunday, November 15

High 82°   Low 67°   Rain 13%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 13%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service80°67°24%
US model (GFS)84°66°3%
European model (ECMWF)82°70°25%
German model (ICON)81°66°8%
Canadian model (GEM)84°67°5%
The average82°67°13%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.