Adrian, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lenawee County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 47° Low 37° Rain 75%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 88 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 31° | 12% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 40° | 77% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 39° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 40° | 88% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 37° | 100% |
| The average | 47° | 37° | 75% |
High 40° Low 31° Rain 17%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 26° | 10% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 32° | 20% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 34° | 31% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 32° | 10% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 31° | 14% |
| The average | 40° | 31° | 17% |
High 44° Low 30° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 30° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 31° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 30° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 29° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 28° | 0% |
| The average | 44° | 30° | 0% |
High 46° Low 32° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 37° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 33° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 26° | 0% |
| The average | 46° | 32° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.