Minority Report

Aguas Buenas Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Aguas Buenas Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 88°   Low 72°   Rain 24%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 82 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 24%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—74°10%
US model (GFS)86°72°19%
European model (ECMWF)86°73°82%
German model (ICON)88°69°10%
Canadian model (GEM)90°71°0%
The average88°72°24%

Friday, November 13

High 86°   Low 74°   Rain 13%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 13%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service85°74°20%
US model (GFS)85°72°23%
European model (ECMWF)85°75°24%
German model (ICON)88°75°0%
Canadian model (GEM)89°75°0%
The average86°74°13%

Saturday, November 14

High 87°   Low 74°   Rain 29%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 82 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 29%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service85°73°40%
US model (GFS)86°72°21%
European model (ECMWF)84°75°82%
German model (ICON)88°77°3%
Canadian model (GEM)90°74°0%
The average87°74°29%

Sunday, November 15

High 87°   Low 71°   Rain 3%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service84°72°1%
US model (GFS)85°71°3%
European model (ECMWF)86°72°8%
German model (ICON)89°69°3%
Canadian model (GEM)90°71°0%
The average87°71°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.