Minority Report

Aibonito Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Aibonito Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 82°   Low 69°   Rain 27%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 72 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 27%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—71°10%
US model (GFS)82°68°19%
European model (ECMWF)82°69°82%
German model (ICON)81°67°13%
Canadian model (GEM)85°69°10%
The average82°69°27%

Friday, November 13

High 81°   Low 70°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 72 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 72% against a group average of 30%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service80°71°30%
US model (GFS)80°68°23%
European model (ECMWF)81°71°24%
German model (ICON)80°71°0%
Canadian model (GEM)83°70°72%
The average81°70°30%

Saturday, November 14

High 81°   Low 71°   Rain 47%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 81 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 5% against a group average of 47%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service80°70°40%
US model (GFS)81°68°21%
European model (ECMWF)80°71°82%
German model (ICON)79°73°5%
Canadian model (GEM)83°71°86%
The average81°71°47%

Sunday, November 15

High 82°   Low 68°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service81°68°1%
US model (GFS)82°67°3%
European model (ECMWF)82°68°8%
German model (ICON)81°69°3%
Canadian model (GEM)84°66°6%
The average82°68°4%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.