Minority Report

Ainsworth, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Brown County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—25°0%
US model (GFS)40°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)42°33°0%
German model (ICON)42°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°27°0%
The average42°28°0%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°26°0%
US model (GFS)39°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)48°32°0%
German model (ICON)48°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°25°0%
The average47°29°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°1%
US model (GFS)50°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°0%
German model (ICON)46°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°29°0%
The average47°30°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 35°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°34°1%
US model (GFS)53°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°35°0%
German model (ICON)54°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°32°6%
The average53°35°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.