Minority Report

Aitkin, MN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Aitkin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 38°   Low 24°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—19°1%
US model (GFS)39°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)38°30°2%
German model (ICON)36°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)37°18°0%
The average38°24°1%

Friday, November 13

High 35°   Low 21°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°18°1%
US model (GFS)31°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)36°26°0%
German model (ICON)34°22°0%
Canadian model (GEM)35°11°0%
The average35°21°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 40°   Low 22°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°22°0%
US model (GFS)41°23°0%
European model (ECMWF)40°28°0%
German model (ICON)40°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°12°0%
The average40°22°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°27°0%
US model (GFS)46°29°1%
European model (ECMWF)44°30°0%
German model (ICON)46°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°19°0%
The average44°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.