Minority Report

Alamosa, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Alamosa County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 22°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—22°0%
US model (GFS)58°22°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°27°0%
German model (ICON)57°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°15°0%
The average56°22°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 24°   Rain 15%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 74 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 74% against a group average of 15%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°28°74%
US model (GFS)57°23°2%
European model (ECMWF)53°27°0%
German model (ICON)56°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°14°0%
The average55°24°15%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 29°   Rain 59%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 53 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 59%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°25°74%
US model (GFS)49°25°49%
European model (ECMWF)44°36°82%
German model (ICON)49°33°61%
Canadian model (GEM)46°26°29%
The average48°29°59%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 27°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 23% against a group average of 9%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°24°0%
US model (GFS)47°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)48°32°23%
German model (ICON)49°28°18%
Canadian model (GEM)47°19°0%
The average48°27°9%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.