Minority Report

Albany, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Albany County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 44°   Low 36°   Rain 100%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°99%
US model (GFS)44°36°99%
European model (ECMWF)44°38°100%
German model (ICON)44°36°100%
Canadian model (GEM)44°38°100%
The average44°36°100%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 33°   Rain 92%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 68% against a group average of 92%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°31°68%
US model (GFS)40°34°94%
European model (ECMWF)43°34°100%
German model (ICON)41°34°100%
Canadian model (GEM)39°33°100%
The average41°33°92%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 33°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 10%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°31°11%
US model (GFS)43°34°8%
European model (ECMWF)44°34°20%
German model (ICON)43°34°10%
Canadian model (GEM)41°33°0%
The average43°33°10%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°30°11%
US model (GFS)45°37°13%
European model (ECMWF)47°37°16%
German model (ICON)46°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°34°0%
The average45°35°8%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.