Minority Report

Albemarle, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Stanly County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 45°   Rain 19%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 40 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 41% against a group average of 19%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°1%
US model (GFS)70°47°22%
European model (ECMWF)70°50°41%
German model (ICON)70°44°23%
Canadian model (GEM)70°46°10%
The average70°45°19%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 39°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°32°6%
US model (GFS)56°39°2%
European model (ECMWF)56°44°2%
German model (ICON)57°39°3%
Canadian model (GEM)58°41°0%
The average57°39°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°30°0%
US model (GFS)53°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)52°39°1%
German model (ICON)53°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°37°0%
The average53°34°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°30°0%
US model (GFS)55°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°36°0%
German model (ICON)57°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°29°0%
The average55°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.