Minority Report

Albion, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Edwards County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 35°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 75 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 80% against a group average of 26%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°5%
US model (GFS)55°36°17%
European model (ECMWF)53°38°80%
German model (ICON)55°35°18%
Canadian model (GEM)53°35°10%
The average54°35°26%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 31°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°28°8%
US model (GFS)42°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)43°34°0%
German model (ICON)46°32°3%
Canadian model (GEM)43°32°0%
The average44°31°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°27°0%
US model (GFS)49°25°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°31°0%
German model (ICON)50°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°25°0%
The average49°27°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°29°0%
US model (GFS)52°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°30°0%
German model (ICON)53°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°20°0%
The average52°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.