Minority Report

Albion, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Noble County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 37°   Rain 70%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 56 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 41% against a group average of 70%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°41%
US model (GFS)46°40°60%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°97%
Canadian model (GEM)46°38°81%
The average46°37°70%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 31°   Rain 22%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 17 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 22%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°27°16%
US model (GFS)40°31°21%
European model (ECMWF)41°31°33%
Canadian model (GEM)40°34°16%
The average40°31°22%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 29°   Rain 6%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 11 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°34°13%
US model (GFS)45°31°9%
European model (ECMWF)45°28°2%
Canadian model (GEM)43°25°2%
The average45°29°6%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 33°   Rain 6%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 10 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°31°13%
US model (GFS)46°35°3%
European model (ECMWF)45°38°4%
Canadian model (GEM)45°27°5%
The average46°33°6%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.