Minority Report

Albion, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Orleans County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 45°   Low 37°   Rain 60%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 93 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 7% against a group average of 60%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°7%
US model (GFS)45°37°35%
European model (ECMWF)45°39°89%
German model (ICON)46°38°70%
Canadian model (GEM)46°37°100%
The average45°37°60%

Friday, November 13

High 39°   Low 36°   Rain 27%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 3% against a group average of 27%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°32°30%
US model (GFS)38°36°3%
European model (ECMWF)40°38°16%
German model (ICON)39°37°45%
Canadian model (GEM)38°35°39%
The average39°36°27%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 36°   Rain 68%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 36% against a group average of 68%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°34°45%
US model (GFS)41°36°36%
European model (ECMWF)43°38°86%
German model (ICON)42°36°83%
Canadian model (GEM)39°35°90%
The average42°36°68%

Sunday, November 15

High 42°   Low 37°   Rain 36%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 67 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 79% against a group average of 36%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°34°12%
US model (GFS)41°37°36%
European model (ECMWF)42°37°79%
German model (ICON)42°39°34%
Canadian model (GEM)40°37°18%
The average42°37°36%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.