Minority Report

Albuquerque, NM — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bernalillo County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°0%
US model (GFS)67°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°40°0%
German model (ICON)65°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°26°0%
The average66°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 65°   Low 36°   Rain 41%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 41%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°40°32%
US model (GFS)65°38°32%
European model (ECMWF)64°40°73%
German model (ICON)64°40°48%
Canadian model (GEM)67°22°19%
The average65°36°41%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 39°   Rain 71%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 71%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°34°63%
US model (GFS)58°41°45%
European model (ECMWF)56°42°93%
German model (ICON)54°42°89%
Canadian model (GEM)54°34°67%
The average56°39°71%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°35°0%
US model (GFS)57°45°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°37°2%
German model (ICON)58°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°26°0%
The average57°36°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.