Minority Report

Aleutians West Census Area, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Aleutians West Census Area.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 37°   Low 34°   Rain 15%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 41% against a group average of 15%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service34°31°16%
US model (GFS)38°38°7%
European model (ECMWF)37°35°41%
German model (ICON)38°34°5%
Canadian model (GEM)38°34°6%
The average37°34°15%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 35°   Rain 96%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°32°90%
US model (GFS)42°38°100%
European model (ECMWF)41°36°100%
German model (ICON)42°34°90%
Canadian model (GEM)42°35°100%
The average41°35°96%

Saturday, November 14

High 39°   Low 34°   Rain 66%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 37% against a group average of 66%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°29°37%
US model (GFS)41°37°73%
European model (ECMWF)40°35°92%
German model (ICON)40°33°70%
Canadian model (GEM)39°35°57%
The average39°34°66%

Sunday, November 15

High 36°   Low 33°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 79% against a group average of 62%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service33°28°79%
US model (GFS)38°36°46%
European model (ECMWF)37°33°76%
German model (ICON)36°34°63%
Canadian model (GEM)36°34°48%
The average36°33°62%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.