Minority Report

Alexandria, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Rapides Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 52°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—46°0%
US model (GFS)78°54°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°56°0%
German model (ICON)76°53°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°54°0%
The average77°52°0%

Friday, November 13

High 66°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°39°0%
US model (GFS)65°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°48°0%
German model (ICON)64°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°47°0%
The average66°44°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°40°1%
US model (GFS)62°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°43°1%
German model (ICON)61°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°42°0%
The average61°40°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 60°   Low 44°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 15°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 69%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°42°71%
US model (GFS)67°44°57%
European model (ECMWF)56°46°80%
German model (ICON)52°43°66%
Canadian model (GEM)62°44°69%
The average60°44°69%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.