Minority Report

Alice, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jim Wells County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 78°   Low 57°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—53°0%
US model (GFS)77°60°0%
European model (ECMWF)79°58°0%
German model (ICON)78°58°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°54°0%
The average78°57°0%

Friday, November 13

High 76°   Low 53°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 17% against a group average of 3%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service76°56°17%
US model (GFS)73°55°0%
European model (ECMWF)79°54°0%
German model (ICON)76°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°48°0%
The average76°53°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 77°   Low 60°   Rain 44%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 58% against a group average of 44%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service75°64°34%
US model (GFS)74°59°47%
European model (ECMWF)79°61°47%
German model (ICON)76°60°58%
Canadian model (GEM)83°56°33%
The average77°60°44%

Sunday, November 15

High 82°   Low 64°   Rain 56%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 80% against a group average of 56%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service79°58°42%
US model (GFS)79°66°50%
European model (ECMWF)83°61°80%
German model (ICON)80°66°43%
Canadian model (GEM)87°68°67%
The average82°64°56%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.