Allegan, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Allegan County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 46° Low 36° Rain 73%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 54 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 31° | 43% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 37° | 68% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 38° | 91% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 35° | 68% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 37° | 97% |
| The average | 46° | 36° | 73% |
High 41° Low 29° Rain 39%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 47 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 26° | 11% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 31° | 26% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 30° | 51% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 31° | 58% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 28° | 49% |
| The average | 41° | 29° | 39% |
High 46° Low 30° Rain 5%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 30° | 9% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 31° | 6% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 30° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 32° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 28° | 6% |
| The average | 46° | 30° | 5% |
High 47° Low 33° Rain 3%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 29° | 3% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 37° | 6% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 37° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 37° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 27° | 0% |
| The average | 47° | 33° | 3% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.