Alleghany County, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Alleghany County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 57° Low 40° Rain 50%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 76 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 34° | 6% |
| US model (GFS) | 58° | 40° | 23% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 56° | 43° | 82% |
| German model (ICON) | 57° | 44° | 75% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 57° | 42° | 62% |
| The average | 57° | 40° | 50% |
High 48° Low 33° Rain 4%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 27° | 6% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 32° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 36° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 37° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 36° | 6% |
| The average | 48° | 33° | 4% |
High 43° Low 30° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 26° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 26° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 33° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 36° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 27° | 0% |
| The average | 43° | 30° | 1% |
High 48° Low 32° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 25° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 34° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 33° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 35° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 31° | 0% |
| The average | 48° | 32° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.