Minority Report

Allentown, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lehigh County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 43°   Rain 97%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°92%
US model (GFS)54°46°92%
European model (ECMWF)58°47°100%
German model (ICON)54°45°100%
Canadian model (GEM)57°44°100%
The average56°43°97%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 97%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°96%
US model (GFS)46°35°89%
European model (ECMWF)47°35°98%
German model (ICON)45°38°100%
Canadian model (GEM)45°35°100%
The average46°34°97%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 19%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 19%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°0%
US model (GFS)44°33°23%
European model (ECMWF)45°33°7%
German model (ICON)46°35°33%
Canadian model (GEM)41°35°34%
The average44°33°19%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°31°0%
US model (GFS)45°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°38°2%
German model (ICON)47°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°33°0%
The average46°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.