Minority Report

Alma, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Harlan County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°1%
US model (GFS)52°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°36°0%
German model (ICON)52°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°34°0%
The average52°32°0%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°30°0%
US model (GFS)44°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°33°0%
German model (ICON)49°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°28°0%
The average47°31°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 32°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 27% against a group average of 12%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°33°20%
US model (GFS)48°31°7%
European model (ECMWF)45°33°2%
German model (ICON)48°31°6%
Canadian model (GEM)46°31°27%
The average47°32°12%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 37°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 20%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°31°14%
US model (GFS)46°39°16%
European model (ECMWF)49°37°11%
German model (ICON)49°39°15%
Canadian model (GEM)46°36°43%
The average48°37°20%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.