Alpena, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Alpena County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 45° Low 36° Rain 80%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 43 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 35° | 57% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 36° | 58% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 37° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 38° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 37° | 86% |
| The average | 45° | 36° | 80% |
High 39° Low 35° Rain 56%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 85 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 39° | 34° | 64% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 34° | 26% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 34° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 37° | 73% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 36° | 15% |
| The average | 39° | 35° | 56% |
High 42° Low 37° Rain 30%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 53 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 33° | 10% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 36° | 22% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 37° | 63% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 38° | 40% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 38° | 15% |
| The average | 42° | 37° | 30% |
High 42° Low 34° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 31° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 37° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 34° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 38° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 30° | 0% |
| The average | 42° | 34° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.