Minority Report

Alpine, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Brewster County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—46°0%
US model (GFS)68°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°47°0%
German model (ICON)67°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°39°0%
The average68°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 71°   Low 46°   Rain 48%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 62 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 48%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°50°90%
US model (GFS)73°45°43%
European model (ECMWF)68°49°51%
German model (ICON)69°43°28%
Canadian model (GEM)73°42°28%
The average71°46°48%

Saturday, November 14

High 66°   Low 49°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 88 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 1% against a group average of 53%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°49°1%
US model (GFS)66°48°77%
European model (ECMWF)65°51°89%
German model (ICON)66°52°63%
Canadian model (GEM)68°46°33%
The average66°49°53%

Sunday, November 15

High 65°   Low 47°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°44°1%
US model (GFS)65°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°47°2%
German model (ICON)65°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°42°4%
The average65°47°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.