Minority Report

Altamont, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Grundy County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 37°   Rain 44%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 89 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 44%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°1%
US model (GFS)57°40°25%
European model (ECMWF)56°39°73%
German model (ICON)56°39°33%
Canadian model (GEM)55°39°90%
The average56°37°44%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 32°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 9%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°30°7%
US model (GFS)40°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)41°35°24%
German model (ICON)43°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°31°11%
The average41°32°9%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 30°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 18% against a group average of 7%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°27°0%
US model (GFS)45°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°31°18%
German model (ICON)46°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°27°15%
The average45°30°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°31°1%
US model (GFS)50°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°29°0%
German model (ICON)52°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°25°0%
The average51°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.