Minority Report

Alton, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Oregon County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)61°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°39°0%
German model (ICON)58°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°40°0%
The average60°37°0%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°25°0%
US model (GFS)45°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°32°0%
German model (ICON)49°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°31°0%
The average48°30°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°27°1%
US model (GFS)50°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°29°0%
German model (ICON)50°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°25°0%
The average50°26°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 31°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°30°5%
US model (GFS)52°33°3%
European model (ECMWF)52°32°3%
German model (ICON)55°33°2%
Canadian model (GEM)51°28°9%
The average53°31°4%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.