Minority Report

Alturas, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Modoc County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 29°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°4%
US model (GFS)66°21°1%
European model (ECMWF)64°40°0%
German model (ICON)66°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°26°0%
The average64°29°1%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 35°   Rain 96%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°29°98%
US model (GFS)48°35°95%
European model (ECMWF)51°39°100%
German model (ICON)50°37°88%
Canadian model (GEM)52°34°100%
The average50°35°96%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 33°   Rain 14%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 14%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°28°8%
US model (GFS)48°35°16%
European model (ECMWF)47°38°10%
German model (ICON)48°34°10%
Canadian model (GEM)51°30°24%
The average49°33°14%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 36°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°28°92%
US model (GFS)51°37°88%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°78%
German model (ICON)44°36°75%
Canadian model (GEM)52°40°90%
The average48°36°85%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.