Minority Report

Amarillo, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Potter County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°0%
US model (GFS)71°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°43°0%
German model (ICON)72°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°38°0%
The average71°41°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 39°   Rain 2%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°41°8%
US model (GFS)64°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°42°0%
German model (ICON)57°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°34°0%
The average60°39°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 39°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 92% against a group average of 80%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°41°76%
US model (GFS)52°38°75%
European model (ECMWF)44°40°92%
German model (ICON)44°41°78%
Canadian model (GEM)45°36°81%
The average47°39°80%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 40°   Rain 51%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 60 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 15% against a group average of 51%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°38°15%
US model (GFS)49°42°75%
European model (ECMWF)45°40°55%
German model (ICON)43°41°63%
Canadian model (GEM)44°37°48%
The average46°40°51%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.