Amelia Court House, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Amelia County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 68° Low 45° Rain 23%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 60 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 42° | 13% |
| US model (GFS) | 69° | 46° | 14% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 68° | 47° | 27% |
| German model (ICON) | 68° | 44° | 60% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 68° | 46° | 0% |
| The average | 68° | 45° | 23% |
High 54° Low 36° Rain 6%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 55° | 30° | 13% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 36° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 43° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 34° | 15% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 56° | 38° | 0% |
| The average | 54° | 36° | 6% |
High 52° Low 32° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 53° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 31° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 37° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 28° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 34° | 0% |
| The average | 52° | 32° | 0% |
High 55° Low 32° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 56° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 34° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 37° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 57° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 31° | 0% |
| The average | 55° | 32° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.