Minority Report

American Falls, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Power County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°0%
US model (GFS)57°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°33°0%
German model (ICON)60°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°30°0%
The average59°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 38°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 67 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 75% against a group average of 30%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°42°75%
US model (GFS)59°39°8%
European model (ECMWF)58°38°18%
German model (ICON)61°40°8%
Canadian model (GEM)60°32°43%
The average59°38°30%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 35°   Rain 83%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 83%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°34°75%
US model (GFS)48°37°75%
European model (ECMWF)48°34°100%
German model (ICON)52°40°91%
Canadian model (GEM)50°32°76%
The average49°35°83%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°36°0%
US model (GFS)51°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°34°0%
German model (ICON)53°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°29°0%
The average52°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.