Minority Report

Anadarko, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Caddo County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°0%
US model (GFS)73°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°46°0%
German model (ICON)72°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°42°0%
The average72°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°37°0%
US model (GFS)60°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°43°0%
German model (ICON)58°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°41°0%
The average59°40°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 40°   Rain 82%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 65% against a group average of 82%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°39°94%
US model (GFS)58°37°78%
European model (ECMWF)56°42°86%
German model (ICON)58°41°87%
Canadian model (GEM)58°40°65%
The average58°40°82%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 41°   Rain 94%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 84% against a group average of 94%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°37°84%
US model (GFS)47°42°92%
European model (ECMWF)46°43°100%
German model (ICON)44°41°98%
Canadian model (GEM)43°40°96%
The average46°41°94%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.