Minority Report

Anchorage, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Anchorage Municipality.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 36°   Low 28°   Rain 31%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 10% against a group average of 31%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°25°27%
US model (GFS)38°35°10%
European model (ECMWF)34°28°43%
German model (ICON)36°28°38%
Canadian model (GEM)35°26°38%
The average36°28°31%

Friday, November 13

High 32°   Low 25°   Rain 5%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service32°19°9%
US model (GFS)35°31°6%
European model (ECMWF)31°27°0%
German model (ICON)34°27°3%
Canadian model (GEM)26°21°5%
The average32°25°5%

Saturday, November 14

High 29°   Low 23°   Rain 40%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 40%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service30°22°36%
US model (GFS)31°27°33%
European model (ECMWF)28°23°50%
German model (ICON)30°26°37%
Canadian model (GEM)23°18°44%
The average29°23°40%

Sunday, November 15

High 29°   Low 25°   Rain 51%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 77% against a group average of 51%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service31°25°43%
US model (GFS)31°27°77%
European model (ECMWF)26°24°55%
German model (ICON)30°27°45%
Canadian model (GEM)26°21°33%
The average29°25°51%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.