Minority Report

Angola, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Steuben County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 45°   Low 36°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 69 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 73%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°29%
US model (GFS)46°38°70%
European model (ECMWF)45°38°98%
Canadian model (GEM)46°38°96%
The average45°36°73%

Friday, November 13

High 39°   Low 30°   Rain 19%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 9 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°27°15%
US model (GFS)38°31°16%
European model (ECMWF)40°31°24%
Canadian model (GEM)39°32°20%
The average39°30°19%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 29°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 8 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°32°8%
US model (GFS)42°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)44°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°26°0%
The average44°29°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 31°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 12 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°12%
US model (GFS)45°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°24°0%
The average45°31°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.