Ann Arbor, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Washtenaw County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 46° Low 37° Rain 74%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 90 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 31° | 10% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 39° | 78% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 38° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 39° | 90% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 37° | 92% |
| The average | 46° | 37° | 74% |
High 40° Low 31° Rain 28%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 27° | 25% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 32° | 13% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 34° | 43% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 31° | 15% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 31° | 43% |
| The average | 40° | 31° | 28% |
High 43° Low 30° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 30° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 31° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 30° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 29° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 28° | 0% |
| The average | 43° | 30° | 1% |
High 45° Low 32° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 36° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 33° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 26° | 0% |
| The average | 45° | 32° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.