Minority Report

Apalachicola, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Franklin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 58°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 14 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 4%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—54°0%
US model (GFS)77°58°5%
European model (ECMWF)77°63°14%
German model (ICON)78°56°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°59°0%
The average77°58°4%

Friday, November 13

High 67°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°45°0%
US model (GFS)67°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°52°0%
German model (ICON)68°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°45°0%
The average67°47°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°48°0%
US model (GFS)62°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°44°0%
German model (ICON)62°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°38°0%
The average61°41°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 63°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°51°1%
US model (GFS)65°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°44°0%
German model (ICON)65°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°37°0%
The average63°43°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.