Minority Report

Appomattox, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Appomattox County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 43°   Rain 22%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 34 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 40% against a group average of 22%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°6%
US model (GFS)66°45°21%
European model (ECMWF)65°46°37%
German model (ICON)65°42°40%
Canadian model (GEM)66°44°6%
The average66°43°22%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 36°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°29°8%
US model (GFS)53°35°4%
European model (ECMWF)53°41°4%
German model (ICON)54°34°8%
Canadian model (GEM)55°39°0%
The average54°36°5%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°28°0%
US model (GFS)51°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)49°35°0%
German model (ICON)50°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°30°0%
The average50°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°27°0%
US model (GFS)53°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°37°0%
German model (ICON)56°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°29°0%
The average54°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.