Arapaho, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Custer County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 70° Low 41° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 38° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 69° | 40° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 69° | 45° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 71° | 40° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 71° | 40° | 0% |
| The average | 70° | 41° | 0% |
High 57° Low 39° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 57° | 38° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 57° | 39° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 57° | 41° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 38° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 58° | 38° | 0% |
| The average | 57° | 39° | 0% |
High 55° Low 39° Rain 89%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 40° | 96% |
| US model (GFS) | 56° | 35° | 78% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 42° | 94% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 40° | 89% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 56° | 38° | 89% |
| The average | 55° | 39° | 89% |
High 45° Low 40° Rain 95%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 37° | 87% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 41° | 94% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 42° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 41° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 38° | 95% |
| The average | 45° | 40° | 95% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.