Arcadia, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of DeSoto County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 77° Low 67° Rain 31%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 64 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 65° | 21% |
| US model (GFS) | 78° | 69° | 9% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 76° | 67° | 73% |
| German model (ICON) | 77° | 68° | 30% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 78° | 68° | 24% |
| The average | 77° | 67° | 31% |
High 73° Low 56° Rain 8%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 75° | 50° | 3% |
| US model (GFS) | 74° | 58° | 18% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 73° | 59° | 14% |
| German model (ICON) | 72° | 58° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 72° | 56° | 0% |
| The average | 73° | 56° | 8% |
High 64° Low 47° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 66° | 45° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 64° | 49° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 64° | 50° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 64° | 47° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 63° | 46° | 0% |
| The average | 64° | 47° | 0% |
High 73° Low 50° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 74° | 57° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 72° | 51° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 73° | 49° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 72° | 47° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 74° | 45° | 5% |
| The average | 73° | 50° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.