Minority Report

Archer City, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Archer County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—46°0%
US model (GFS)78°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°50°0%
German model (ICON)76°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°44°0%
The average77°47°0%

Friday, November 13

High 66°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°46°0%
US model (GFS)66°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°49°0%
German model (ICON)63°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°42°0%
The average66°46°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 45°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 39 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 61% against a group average of 85%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°46°92%
US model (GFS)64°44°79%
European model (ECMWF)59°48°100%
German model (ICON)57°45°93%
Canadian model (GEM)62°43°61%
The average61°45°85%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 44°   Rain 92%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 79% against a group average of 92%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°42°79%
US model (GFS)55°46°88%
European model (ECMWF)54°46°100%
German model (ICON)48°45°98%
Canadian model (GEM)51°42°96%
The average53°44°92%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.