Minority Report

Ardmore, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Carter County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 73°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°1%
US model (GFS)74°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)73°47°0%
German model (ICON)73°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°43°0%
The average73°45°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°39°1%
US model (GFS)61°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°46°0%
German model (ICON)61°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°44°0%
The average62°43°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 41°   Rain 65%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 65%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°40°83%
US model (GFS)60°39°50%
European model (ECMWF)57°43°82%
German model (ICON)56°40°76%
Canadian model (GEM)56°42°35%
The average58°41°65%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 41°   Rain 94%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°38°93%
US model (GFS)51°41°87%
European model (ECMWF)46°43°100%
German model (ICON)46°42°100%
Canadian model (GEM)45°41°92%
The average48°41°94%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.